The article outlines the potential for India-U.S. collaboration in certain ares of trade which will bring many gains.
India-U.S. bilateral trade
- In the five years to 2019, bilateral trade grew at a CAGR of 7.7% per year to $146 billion.
- If we assume the same rate of growth, the $500 billion target will be achieved by 2036.
- To ensure this, the CAGR would need to be set at 11.9%.
- This is doable if the right policy actions are taken.
Areas of collaboration
1) Healthcare exchanges
- A collaborative response to the pandemic would contribute to global containment of the virus.
- Business partnerships are already taking place in the supply chain.
- As India becomes the hub of global vaccine distribution, building confidence in the Indian IPR regime, reviving the U.S.-India Health Dialogue, and mutually recognising standards and approvals will help drive healthcare exchanges.
2) Improving the macro trade architecture
- The macro trade architecture can be strengthened with a broad trade agreement focusing on resolving the low-hanging fruit.
- The U.S.-India Trade Policy Forum meetings can be revived along with a cross-sector track-2 group to look at convergence on issues such as market access.
- There is potential for flexibility from both sides for restoring the Generalised System of Preferences.
- The two countries should consider initiating discussions on a free trade agreement.
3) Trade in services
- Recent regulations in the U.S. have impacted labour mobility which can be addressed through immigration reforms for employment-based visa backlogs and smooth and timely processes.
- The MoU on labour cooperation signed in 2011 could be updated in line with India’s recent labour regulatory changes.
- This may also be a good time to reconsider a totalisation agreement pertaining to social security, given that both have already entered into such agreements with many of the same partner countries.
4) Defence industry ties
- Defence industry ties can be stepped up in coordination with industry.
- A defence dialogue including the private sectors of both sides could help in co-production and co-development in the defence and aerospace sectors.
5) Stepping up engagement of SMEs
- Five, engagement of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) can be stepped up.
- Smaller U.S. companies can find significant new opportunities for investments in India and sourcing from India.
- A U.S.-India SME CEOs Forum can be set up to catalyse such partnerships.
6) Clean energy and climate change
- The U.S.-India Strategic Energy Partnership should be geared towards joint investments in industrial decarbonisation, carbon dioxide removal and green hydrogen.
- The programmes of Partnership to Advance Clean Energy Research, Partnership to Advance Clean Energy Deployment and Promoting Energy Access through Clean Energy must be relaunched.
7) Digital economy partnership
- India has proved its ability in this space with new opportunities opening up in robotics, space, AI and electric vehicles.
- It is also important to disseminate information on India’s IPR regime improvements and work towards taking India off the U.S. Trade Representative IPR priority watchlist.
8) Other areas
- Other opportunities in the bilateral economic relationship include education, innovation and R&D, and agricultural trade and technology.
Conclusion
A closer economic partnership would bring gains to both sides in terms of GDP, employment, and productivity, given the complementary natures of their economies.
